Excerpt from:  Commercial Real Estate Loan Tips
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January 03, 2005

Why Are Commercial Mortgage Loan Rates Not Increasing?

Rates on Commercial Loans Have Increased Only Modestly Despite the Fed's Actions

Over the past nine months the Fed has increased the Federal Funds rate by 1.25%, yet commercial mortgage loan rates on CMBS quality deals have increased less than 25 basis points.   Ten year Treasuries currently yield 4.2%, just a stone throw's from where they sat nine months ago.  Gold fell by over $8 per ounce yesterday.  What gives?

Clearly the markets are anticipating less inflation than the news services are suggesting.  The forces of deflation remain strong, as $33 trillion in US debt must be serviced monthly.  This huge debt service requirement sucks money out of the money supply at a rate almost faster than the Federal Reserve can create and the Federal government can spend.  There is a huge anchor around the neck of the American economy, and the bond markets are anticipating a sharp slowdown.

The good news is that if you own a commercial property, you have not missed the bottom of the market for long term rates.  It is still possible to lock in a historically fabulous long term fixed rate.  To find the rates of 750 commercial mortgage lenders, just come to C-Loans.

by George Blackburne
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